Le Cygne noir: La puissance de l’imprévisible | Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Christine Rimoldy | ISBN: | Kostenloser Versand für alle Bücher mit. Ce livre revele tout des Cygnes Noirs, ces evenements aleatoires, hautement improbables, qui Nassim Nicholas Taleb was born in in Amioun, Lebanon. Le Cygne noir has ratings and reviews. Mark said: First, a disclaimer . Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Goodreads Author),. Christine Rimoldy (Translator).
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If I met Taleb, I would recommend that he read some other theories on random variables why does he use Gaussian distribution as the only example of random distribution?
I worked in commodity trading for ten years. Find your path to meaningful life. You will accumulate more knowledge and more books as you grow older, and the growing number of unread books on the shelves will look at you menancingly. Pourquoi ne devrait-on jamais lire un journal ni courir pour attraper un train? They mean we can’t predict the future something which I think most sane humans are already aware of.
Published September 8th by Les Belles Lettres first published Is any of the readers applying anything from the book to decision making in their lives?
How is that a basis for disagreeing with the quote? Those who have followed the assertive idiot rather than the introspective wise person have passed us some of their genes. Lucas Carlson Because of the magnitude of disaster possible when people are wrong and unprepared for being wrong. He defines a black swan as It was really hard to keep reading this book.
I do not consider Taleb to be a good communicator. Science is haleb about building models which help us understand the world. See Wikipedia for more details. Write a customer review. So, anyway, given the bad arguments and flawed reasoning throughout the book, his claim that everyone else does not understand the mathematics of probability is one I have to take with great scepticism. Dulcis in fundo le conclusioni ad un’opera di tal spessore in senso fisico arriva in due paginette, lasciando un pesante senso di incompiutezza.
So why would I get rid of something that doesn’t do worse but could do better? Ce livre revele tout des Cygnes Noirs, ces evenements aleatoires, hautement improbables, qui jalonnent notre vie: Taleb seems to purposefully misunderstand and misinterpret economics and statistics. What is a Black Swan? Lists with This Book. The book could have been a chapter in a better explained and more humble exposition by Kahneman or Gilovich or others who talk about cognitive nicholss spots.
He loves to use sarcastic quotes to criticize things like “prestigious” institutions despite mentioning multiple times that he himself attended the prestigious Wharton School. Also, NNT ignores the silent evidence of intuition.
The book is altogether too long given the core point of the book which is this: In this literary novel, Janet’s son returns from Iraq and their family is thrown into a world of recovery and self-discovery. Get fast, free shipping with Amazon Prime. I could have saved time, money and my blood pressure level and probably been more entertained by simply reading the book’s entry on Wikipedia. He accepts these theories as facts and bases large portions of his argument upon them, yet he criticizes doctors, biologists and other scientists for using experimental evidence to make theories on why things work instead of simply accepting that they do work.
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There’s a problem loading this menu right now. When I read the second chapter which is a metaphor for what Taleb thinks is him I puked in my shirt. The central idea is good, but the execution oh-so-isn’t. Amazon Renewed Refurbished products with a warranty. Now continue to imagine taking a pair of scissors and cutting up each of taoeb essays into individual paragraphs so noit you have about paragraphs on the same subject.
Whether his hatreds are justified or not, the way he does it comes across as terribly juvenile and he never misses a cheap shot. He gave a noid simplistic examples about Extremistan and Mediocristan as if they are completely independent.
For some strange reason, however NNT seems to think that he personally invented the idea of unpredictable events. Refresh and try again.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb spent 21 years as a risk taker quantitative trader before becoming a flaneur and researcher in philosophical, mathematical and mostly practical problems with probability. The accusation of tit-for-tat citation is ludicrous.
It also bugs me that the case study of Yevgenia Krasnova that opens and closes the book to illustrate the black-swan concept, is actually fictional — surely a real-life example would be more convincing?
To see this logical fallacy in action, simply reply “Speak for yourself, asshole! If that wasn’t enough reason noif put the book down, at several points throughout ,e book, he was quick to degrade or dismiss academics, doctors, lawyers, politicians, researchers, pretty much anyone that he perceived being his inferior.
Taleb received his bachelors and masters degree in science from the University of Paris. Why does he have to make her boir As I have a limited amount of time to read I’m usually quite cautious about choosing my books.
Another reviewer said a second reading is necessary to understand the book’s flow and structure. A far better analogy would be releasing a pack of hungry half starved street mongrels into a yard filled with pampered well fed pet dogs.
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